7/24/2020

White House News (白宮消息) | July 24, 2020

Trump has dug himself into a deeper hole in Florida, highlighting how far he's slipped among seniors
 A new Quinnipiac University poll has President Donald Trump down 13 points to former Vice President Joe Biden in Florida.

July 24 - President Donald Trump, officially a Florida man, is slipping in his new home state to former Vice President Joe Biden.

A new Quinnipiac University poll spells trouble for the president's reelection prospects, even factoring in Quinnipiac's tendency to over-sample Democrats in the recent past (FiveThirtyEight gives them a +0.2% mean-reverted bias for Democrats and a B+ rating).


The Thursday poll shows Biden leading Trump by 13 points in the Sunshine State, up 4 points from April.
—Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) July 23, 2020

Trump getting only 38% of the vote in Florida come Nov. 3 would be a shock and remains an unlikely prospect given the GOP's power in the state populated by wealthier retirees and a strong base of Republican voters in the Cuban-American diaspora.
Even so, the underlying trend is bad for Trump.
Picture