8/25/2016

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南韩总统朴槿惠在她言谈中表示朝鲜政权已有严重分裂的现象
(合众国际社)汉城消息,8 月 22 日也是美韩军演的同一天,朝鲜平壤谴责美韩大规模的军事演习。
据韩联社报道,朴槿惠在南韩国家安全理事会会议对护卫自由的队员们说,朝鲜政权现在已有严重的分裂现象而且他们的政权将会加速地动摇。
根据南韩分析, 一个礼拜前,朴槿惠在韩国从日本殖民帝国获得独立的第七十周年演讲中解释南北韩的统一包括北韩人民和北韩官员全部都归向南韩管辖。但这里的北韩官员不包括北韩最高高级官员和金正恩。
星期一,朴槿惠说,“最近北韩的政治系统和领导阶级已有摇动崩溃的现象,一些北韩的主要官员逃到外国寻求护庇。”
一位匿名的韩国官员向韩国联合通讯社解释说,朴槿惠从站在比较远的观点来看,北方政府统治上的困难是因为,国际劣势,和一般平民百姓反对北韩政府在平壤的军事总动员,还有领导人的昏庸无知。尽管北韩的核武计划遭受世人的谴责,但北韩并不放弃。
星期一,汉城进一步地指责北韩,因在2016年核武制造已恢复钚元素产量,国际原子能机构也证实这讲法是真的。
而北韩也不断地指责美韩双方从星期一开始的联合军事演习。
朝鲜人民军发言人表示,由于美韩联演,北韩已经准备好了北韩要当先向南韩做报复性的攻击。
根据战略与国际研究中心的研究,北韩如此的讲法并不正确,在此之前,即使美韩没有联军,北韩仍做同样的威胁,说要当先向南韩做报复性的攻击。
反而地根据研究,平壤与华盛顿双方关系的不妥协才是造成当地局势不安的原因,与美韩联合作战演习无关。
原文作者: Elizabeth Shim,译者:谣谣,取自:http://www.upi.com/6394684
South Korea's Park Geun-hye: 'Serious cracks' emerging in North Korean regime
The South Korean president is increasingly isolating the North Korean leadership in her remarks.
SEOUL, Aug. 22 (UPI) -- South Korean President Park Geun-hye suggested regime change in North Korea is close at hand, the same day Pyongyang condemned the commencement of large-scale joint military exercises.
Speaking during a national security council meeting for the Ulchi Freedom Guardian exercises, Park said "serious cracks" are emerging in the Pyongyang government, and the possibility the system would be "shaken" is increasing, Yonhap reported.
The president's remarks come a week after she described unification as an opportunity for "all North Koreans and North Korean officials," during a speech marking the 71st anniversary of Korean independence from Japanese colonial rule.
Park did not include Kim Jong Un in her speech, a move that is aiming to isolate the top leadership, according to a South Korean analyst.
On Monday Park said, "Even the North Korean elite class is recently showing signs of collapse, and some of North Korea's key officials are defecting or seeking asylum abroad, signs that there is a possibility the system is shaking."
A South Korean official who spoke to Yonhap on the condition of anonymity said the president is looking at the bigger picture, which includes difficulties for the regime under international sanctions, increasing public opposition to Pyongyang's mass mobilization movements and the defection of elites.
North Korea, however, has shown no signs of giving up its universally condemned nuclear weapons program.
The International Atomic Energy Agency confirmed North Korea resumed plutonium production in 2016, a move Seoul condemned on Monday, according to News.
Pyongyang has also not stopped denouncing the joint military exercises that began on Monday.
A spokesman for the Korean People's Army said the North is ready to make "preemptive retaliatory strikes" against the United States and South Korea because of the drills.
North Korea has made similar statements in the past, but according to research from the Center for Strategic and International Studies, the joint drills do not provoke North Korea.
Rather it is the state of diplomatic relations between Washington and Pyongyang that play a role in the North Korean reaction, according to the study.